Volume

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In Elliott Wave analysis, volume is an important indicator that complements wave counts. It tends to decline over time during corrections, and below primary degree, wave 5 volume is generally less than wave 3 volume.

Overview

During corrections, the point where volume reaches its lowest level often marks the end of the correction.

As a corrective wave progresses, market participants lose interest and volume gradually declines. The point where volume reaches its lowest level is a sign that buying/selling energy has been exhausted, increasing the probability that the next motive wave begins from there.

Volume distribution within a motive wave also has characteristic features. Below primary degree, the standard pattern is for volume to peak at wave 3 and for wave 5 volume to be less than wave 3 volume. Conversely, when wave 5 volume becomes equal to or greater than wave 3 volume, it is a sign that wave 5 extension may be occurring.

Illustrated Chart

① Standard pattern: Wave 3 volume > Wave 5 volume — Click to expand
S 1 2 3 4 5 Volume 1 2 3 (largest) 4 5 (smaller)
The standard pattern below primary degree. Volume peaks at wave 3, and wave 5 volume is less than wave 3 volume. Note also that volume drops significantly during corrective phases (waves 2 and 4).
② Wave 5 extension signal: Wave 5 volume ≥ Wave 3 volume — Click to expand
S 1 2 3 4 5 (extended) Volume 1 2 3 (medium) 4 5 (largest = extension signal)
A case where wave 5 volume is equal to or greater than wave 3 volume. This signals that wave 5 is extending. Note the volume distribution is reversed compared to the standard pattern (wave 3 > wave 5).
How to read the diagrams: Comparing ① and ② shows that the relationship between wave 3 and wave 5 volume is reversed. The volume distribution pattern provides a clue for judging whether wave 5 is extending.

Detailed Points

  1. Corrective phases: the point where volume reaches its lowest level is a sign of correction completion

    As a corrective wave progresses, volume declines over time, and the point of lowest volume serves as a marker of correction completion.

  2. Below primary degree: Wave 3 volume > Wave 5 volume is standard

    Below primary degree, the standard pattern is for volume to peak at wave 3 and for wave 5 volume to be less than wave 3 volume.

  3. Wave 5 volume ≥ Wave 3 volume → Wave 5 extension signal

    When wave 5 volume becomes equal to or greater than wave 3 volume (the reverse of standard), it signals that wave 5 is extending.

Summary

Volume is an important auxiliary indicator in Elliott Wave analysis. It tends to decline over time during corrections, and the point of lowest volume serves as a marker of correction completion.

Below primary degree, volume normally peaks at wave 3 and wave 5 volume is less than wave 3 volume. Conversely, when wave 5 volume becomes equal to or greater than wave 3 volume, it can be read as a signal that wave 5 is extending.

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